Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: voter-turnout ×

Showing 13-24 of 98 posts

How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off
How Valid Votes Varied by Position in 2013: The Down-Ballot Drop-Off

In 2013, Kenyans received six different ballots. The presidential ballot received 12,221,053 valid votes. But by the tim...

Feb 15, 2026 5 min 7,363
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc

The three Northeastern counties — Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — are often treated as a political bloc. But in 2022, they...

Feb 07, 2026 4 min 7,875
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North

Turkana County combines extreme geography, limited infrastructure, and a politically engaged population into one of Keny...

Jan 15, 2026 4 min 4,538
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Dec 28, 2025 2 min 5,744
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SIAYA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Dec 22, 2025 2 min 11,936
KISUMU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
KISUMU: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KISUMU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 16, 2025 2 min 9,803
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for HOMA BAY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Dec 10, 2025 2 min 9,052
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MIGORI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 04, 2025 2 min 6,967
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NANDI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 28, 2025 2 min 7,653
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)
BARINGO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BARINGO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 22, 2025 2 min 1,657
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 16, 2025 2 min 8,557
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to pla...

Nov 10, 2025 2 min 11,189