Showing 13-24 of 229 posts
ELGEYO/MARAKWET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for ELGEYO/MARAKWET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicat...
NAROK: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Isiolo Field Note 50: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Homa Bay Field Note 49: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Garissa Field Note 48: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Embu Field Note 47: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Elgeyo/Marakwet Field Note 46: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...
KAJIADO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for KAJIADO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
Busia Field Note 45: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Bungoma Field Note 44: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Bomet Field Note 43: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Bomet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Baringo Field Note 42: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Baringo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...