Showing 13-24 of 67 posts
Wajir Coalition Memo 43: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Vihiga Coalition Memo 42: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Uasin Gishu Coalition Memo 41: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Uasin Gishu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Turkana Coalition Memo 40: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Turkana using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Predicting 2027 Turnout: What Historical Data Tells Us
Kenya's turnout has fallen from 86% to 65% across three elections. With registration projected to reach 24-26 million by...
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Nyeri Coalition Memo 33: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...