Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: Opinion & Commentary ×

Showing 13-24 of 63 posts

Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 28, 2026 2 min 2,214
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...

May 27, 2026 2 min 11,246
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

May 26, 2026 2 min 2,138
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 25, 2026 2 min 890
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 24, 2026 2 min 7,889
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 23, 2026 2 min 3,479
Predicting 2027 Turnout: What Historical Data Tells Us
Predicting 2027 Turnout: What Historical Data Tells Us

Kenya's turnout has fallen from 86% to 65% across three elections. With registration projected to reach 24-26 million by...

May 23, 2026 5 min 6,496
Nyeri Coalition Memo 33: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nyeri Coalition Memo 33: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 22, 2026 2 min 668
Nyandarua Coalition Memo 32: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nyandarua Coalition Memo 32: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

May 21, 2026 2 min 1,145
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 20, 2026 2 min 1,309
Narok Coalition Memo 30: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Narok Coalition Memo 30: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Narok using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 19, 2026 2 min 9,926
Nandi Coalition Memo 29: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nandi Coalition Memo 29: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nandi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 18, 2026 2 min 5,525