Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 19 posts

From Kenyatta to Ruto: How Mt. Kenya's Vote Shifted in 2022
From Kenyatta to Ruto: How Mt. Kenya's Vote Shifted in 2022

Mt. Kenya's six core counties voted 92-99% for Kenyatta in 2017 and 73-85% for Ruto in 2022. The transfer worked, but th...

Jan 23, 2026 5 min 7,004
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
SIAYA: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SIAYA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Dec 22, 2025 2 min 11,936
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
NANDI: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NANDI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 28, 2025 2 min 7,653
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)
KERICHO: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KERICHO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Nov 04, 2025 2 min 4,432
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections
2025 Year in Review: 12 Data Insights That Defined Our Understanding of Kenyan Elections

Over the past year, we have published over 40 data-driven articles covering every aspect of Kenya's elections from 2007...

Oct 31, 2025 5 min 3,358
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers
Five Years On: Remembering August 8, 2017 by the Numbers

19.6 million registered voters. 8 presidential candidates. 10,667 KIEMS kits. One Supreme Court annulment. August 8, 201...

Aug 31, 2025 4 min 5,073
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency
8 Provinces, 210 Seats, One Winner-Take-All Presidency

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 10, 2025 2 min 1,750
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 11, 2025 2 min 10,009
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women

In 2017, Kenya had 9.14 million female registered voters (46.6% of the roll). By 2022, it was 10.87 million (49.1%). Yet...

Jun 23, 2025 5 min 11,609
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 11, 2025 2 min 1,888
From Violence to Reform: How 2007 Led to Kenya's New Constitution
From Violence to Reform: How 2007 Led to Kenya's New Constitution

The 2007-2008 post-election crisis killed approximately 1,500 Kenyans and displaced over 600,000. The Waki Commission in...

Apr 08, 2025 8 min 5,238
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked
From 210 MPs to 8 Provinces: How the Old Electoral System Worked

Kenya's pre-2010 constitution electoral system was radically different from what exists today. The country was divided i...

Feb 20, 2025 7 min 1,734