Showing 85-96 of 469 posts
WEST POKOT: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WEST POKOT: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agent...
Nairobi City Referendum Watch 21: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Nairobi City using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Murang'A Referendum Watch 20: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Murang'A using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
NANDI Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for NANDI: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
Mombasa Referendum Watch 19: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Mombasa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Migori Referendum Watch 18: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Migori using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Meru Referendum Watch 17: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Meru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Marsabit Referendum Watch 16: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Marsabit using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
WAJIR: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WAJIR: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Mandera Referendum Watch 15: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
2022 County Spotlight: Taita Taveta, Kwale, and Kilifi — The Coast’s Odinga Vote
Three Coast counties — Kilifi (71.64% Odinga), Kwale (70.13%), and Taita Taveta (72.89%) — delivered strong Odinga margi...
BOMET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for BOMET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...