Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 85-96 of 207 posts

Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 05, 2025 2 min 9,889
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MANDERA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 6,142
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One
The 231,728-Vote Margin: Why 2007 Was Contestable From Day One

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 7,682
Women Representatives: How Jubilee Dominated the 47 County Women Rep Seats
Women Representatives: How Jubilee Dominated the 47 County Women Rep Seats

In the 2017 General Election, Jubilee claimed 25 of 47 county Women Representative seats. ODM trailed with 11. But the r...

May 31, 2025 5 min 11,114
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

May 29, 2025 2 min 7,858
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MAKUENI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

May 26, 2025 2 min 2,898
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

May 22, 2025 2 min 755
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MACHAKOS: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 20, 2025 2 min 3,373
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

May 15, 2025 2 min 3,923
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

May 14, 2025 2 min 9,388
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 08, 2025 2 min 4,855
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAIKIPIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 08, 2025 2 min 1,118