Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 85-96 of 174 posts

GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
GARISSA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for GARISSA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Feb 19, 2025 2 min 1,234
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
EMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for EMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

Feb 13, 2025 2 min 11,605
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya
Packaging and Delivery of Election Materials After Counting in Kenya

Once counting ends at a Kenyan polling station, materials must be packaged in tamper-proof envelopes and delivered to th...

Feb 08, 2025 7 min 2,434
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
ELGEYO / MARAKWET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign...

Feb 07, 2025 2 min 7,468
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
DIASPORA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for DIASPORA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Feb 01, 2025 2 min 9,450
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won
Independent Candidates: 4,002 Ran in 2017, Only 125 Won

In 2017, 4,002 candidates ran as independents across all six elective positions. Only 125 won — a success rate of just 3...

Jan 31, 2025 5 min 8,041
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUSIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUSIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 26, 2025 2 min 677
What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist
What Agents Must Do During Counting: A Practical Checklist

A practical 15-point checklist for party agents during vote counting at Kenyan polling stations: from verifying your app...

Jan 25, 2025 7 min 9,672
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUNGOMA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 20, 2025 2 min 1,187
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena
The MCA Landscape: 1,448 Wards, 41 Parties, and the Most Diverse Political Arena

The 2017 MCA elections were the most politically diverse contest in Kenya. While 21 parties won National Assembly seats,...

Jan 15, 2025 5 min 9,482
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election
Kibaki vs Raila: The Numbers Behind Kenya's Most Disputed Election

A province-by-province breakdown of the 2007 presidential election reveals why the results remain Kenya's most disputed....

Jan 15, 2025 7 min 4,658
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BOMET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 14, 2025 2 min 2,878