Showing 37-48 of 413 posts
WAJIR: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WAJIR: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Mandera Referendum Watch 15: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
2022 County Spotlight: Taita Taveta, Kwale, and Kilifi — The Coast’s Odinga Vote
Three Coast counties — Kilifi (71.64% Odinga), Kwale (70.13%), and Taita Taveta (72.89%) — delivered strong Odinga margi...
Makueni Referendum Watch 14: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Makueni using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
BOMET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for BOMET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
Machakos Referendum Watch 13: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Machakos using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Lamu Referendum Watch 12: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Lamu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Laikipia Referendum Watch 11: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
TRANS NZOIA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agen...
Kwale Referendum Watch 10: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kwale using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Kitui Referendum Watch 9: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kitui using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Kisumu Referendum Watch 8: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kisumu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...