Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 25-36 of 174 posts

ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers
ANC, FORD-Kenya, and Wiper: Western and Eastern Kenya's Opposition in Numbers

Within the NASA coalition, three parties carved out regional kingdoms. Wiper held the most seats overall with 108 across...

Sep 07, 2025 6 min 11,442
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 5,204
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 1,992
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 10,548
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats
The KANU Factor: From 39 Years of Power to 8 Seats

The Kenya African National Union (KANU) was the ruling party from 1963 to 2002 -- 39 years of unbroken power. By 2017, t...

Aug 23, 2025 5 min 1,554
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SAMBURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Aug 18, 2025 2 min 5,194
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 9,485
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYANDARUA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Aug 06, 2025 2 min 9,224
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYAMIRA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 10,302
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 25, 2025 2 min 4,108
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 19, 2025 2 min 11,145
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 17, 2025 2 min 11,394