Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 25-36 of 85 posts

TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 1,992
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 10,548
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SAMBURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SAMBURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Aug 18, 2025 2 min 5,194
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground
2022 County Spotlight: Nakuru — The Rift Valley Battleground

Nakuru County had 1,055,515 registered voters in 2022, making it the third-largest electorate after Nairobi and Kiambu....

Aug 15, 2025 5 min 8,510
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYERI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYERI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 12, 2025 2 min 9,485
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYANDARUA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYANDARUA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Aug 06, 2025 2 min 9,224
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NYAMIRA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NYAMIRA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 10,302
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress
2022 County Spotlight: Kisumu and Homa Bay — Odinga’s Lakeside Fortress

Kisumu (97.45% Odinga) and Homa Bay (98.93% Odinga) were the two most lopsided counties in the entire 2022 election. Wit...

Jul 31, 2025 4 min 7,354
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NAROK 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NAROK: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 25, 2025 2 min 4,108
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 10,950
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
NANDI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for NANDI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jul 19, 2025 2 min 11,146
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold

Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...

Jul 15, 2025 5 min 1,453