Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: County Spotlight ×

Showing 13-24 of 85 posts

2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc
2022 County Spotlight: Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — The Northeastern Bloc

The three Northeastern counties — Garissa, Wajir, and Mandera — are often treated as a political bloc. But in 2022, they...

Feb 07, 2026 4 min 7,875
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North
2022 County Spotlight: Turkana — High Stakes, Low Turnout in the North

Turkana County combines extreme geography, limited infrastructure, and a politically engaged population into one of Keny...

Jan 15, 2026 4 min 4,538
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 1,827
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations

Bungoma County was supposed to be Azimio territory. Western Kenya had traditionally voted with Odinga. But William Ruto...

Oct 15, 2025 5 min 8,001
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,202
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 443
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,854
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 7,961
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote
2022 County Spotlight: Machakos and Makueni — Kamba Country's Vote

Machakos and Makueni counties delivered a decisive Kamba bloc vote for the late Raila Odinga in 2022. Machakos gave him...

Sep 23, 2025 5 min 1,981
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 8,189
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign tea...

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 5,359
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 5,204