Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: County Spotlight ×

Showing 1-12 of 121 posts

Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Jun 09, 2026 2 min 3,348
2022 County Spotlight: Nandi and Baringo — Deep Rift Valley
2022 County Spotlight: Nandi and Baringo — Deep Rift Valley

Nandi (91.30% Ruto, 3rd highest nationally) and Baringo (80.69% Ruto) represent the deep Rift Valley vote. But the 11-po...

Jun 07, 2026 4 min 4,982
2022 County Spotlight: Kisii and Nyamira — The Gusii Region Split
2022 County Spotlight: Kisii and Nyamira — The Gusii Region Split

Kisii and Nyamira counties — the Gusii homeland — gave the late Raila Odinga 65.80% and 61.84% respectively in 2022. But...

May 15, 2026 5 min 7,210
2022 County Spotlight: Uasin Gishu — Ruto’s Capital at 77.99%
2022 County Spotlight: Uasin Gishu — Ruto’s Capital at 77.99%

Uasin Gishu County, home to Eldoret city and William Ruto’s political base, gave him 272,868 votes (77.99%) in 2022. But...

May 07, 2026 5 min 3,289
2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya
2022 County Spotlight: Migori — The late Raila’s Bridge to Western Kenya

Migori County gave the late Raila Odinga 84.58% of its vote in 2022 — making it one of his strongest counties outside th...

Apr 23, 2026 5 min 2,581
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bungoma 2027 Readiness Brief 50: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 19, 2026 2 min 3,986
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 49: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Bomet 2027 Readiness Brief 49: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Bomet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 18, 2026 2 min 3,037
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 48: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Baringo 2027 Readiness Brief 48: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Baringo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 17, 2026 2 min 9,709
West Pokot 2027 Readiness Brief 47: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
West Pokot 2027 Readiness Brief 47: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for West Pokot using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

Apr 16, 2026 2 min 4,201
Wajir 2027 Readiness Brief 46: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Wajir 2027 Readiness Brief 46: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 15, 2026 2 min 3,592
Vihiga 2027 Readiness Brief 45: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Vihiga 2027 Readiness Brief 45: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Apr 14, 2026 2 min 652
Uasin Gishu 2027 Readiness Brief 44: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Uasin Gishu 2027 Readiness Brief 44: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Uasin Gishu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Apr 13, 2026 2 min 11,304