Showing 169-180 of 186 posts
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...
Governor Sakaja vs Igathe: The Most Expensive City Campaign in Kenyan History
The 2022 Nairobi governor race between Johnson Sakaja (Kenya Kwanza) and Polycarp Igathe (Azimio) was the most expensive...
The Kenyatta Succession: How Uhuru's Endorsement of Raila Backfired
No sitting Kenyan president has ever successfully handed power to a chosen successor outside their deputy. Uhuru tried w...
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...
Rural vs Urban: How City Voters and Village Voters Split in 2022
City voters and rural voters didn't just pick different candidates in 2022 — they showed up at dramatically different ra...
Voter Turnout Crisis: Why 5 Million Registered Voters Stayed Home in 2022
Kenya's 2022 voter turnout of 65.4% marked a troubling decline from 2013's 85.9%. Nearly 8 million registered voters sta...
The Servers Controversy: Real-Time Results Transmission in 2022
The 2022 results transmission system was Kenya's most advanced yet — KIEMS kits, 4G backup, and real-time portal uploads...
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis
William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...
Presidential Results by Constituency: A Granular Look at 2022
Breaking down the 2022 presidential results across all 290 constituencies reveals patterns hidden in county-level data....
Martha Karua Effect: Did She Move Votes in Central Kenya?
When Raila Odinga picked Martha Karua as his running mate, it was hailed as a masterstroke. A respected Kikuyu woman fro...
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic
Kenya Kwanza brought together UDA, ANC, Ford-Kenya, and smaller parties into a coalition that covered every region and c...