Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: 2022-election ×

Showing 145-156 of 170 posts

Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 7,358
The Whistle-Blower IEBC Commissioners: Juliana Cherera and the Minority Report
The Whistle-Blower IEBC Commissioners: Juliana Cherera and the Minority Report

On August 15, 2022, IEBC Vice Chair Juliana Cherera and three other commissioners broke ranks with Chairman Wafula Chebu...

Oct 30, 2022 6 min 8,426
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets

Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...

Oct 30, 2022 3 min 5,658
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM

Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...

Oct 27, 2022 5 min 783
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election

Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...

Oct 25, 2022 3 min 4,465
The County Assembly Speaker Elections 2022: Behind-the-Scenes Power Plays
The County Assembly Speaker Elections 2022: Behind-the-Scenes Power Plays

After the dust settled on the August 2022 general election, a hidden battle erupted in all 47 county assemblies: the spe...

Oct 25, 2022 5 min 10,871
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 511
Governor Sakaja vs Igathe: The Most Expensive City Campaign in Kenyan History
Governor Sakaja vs Igathe: The Most Expensive City Campaign in Kenyan History

The 2022 Nairobi governor race between Johnson Sakaja (Kenya Kwanza) and Polycarp Igathe (Azimio) was the most expensive...

Oct 18, 2022 6 min 7,576
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza

Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...

Oct 18, 2022 5 min 11,095
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold
Kisumu's 98% Loyalty: Inside Kenya's Most Predictable Stronghold

Kisumu gave Raila Odinga 97.5% of the presidential vote in 2022 — almost identical to 2017 and 2013. What drives this ex...

Oct 18, 2022 3 min 4,376
Rejected Ballots in 2022: 246,000 Votes That Never Counted
Rejected Ballots in 2022: 246,000 Votes That Never Counted

In an election decided by 233,211 votes, the 246,232 rejected presidential ballots represent a democratic tragedy. Who w...

Oct 18, 2022 4 min 4,874
The Kenyatta Succession: How Uhuru's Endorsement of Raila Backfired
The Kenyatta Succession: How Uhuru's Endorsement of Raila Backfired

No sitting Kenyan president has ever successfully handed power to a chosen successor outside their deputy. Uhuru tried w...

Oct 14, 2022 5 min 10,711