Showing 133-144 of 384 posts
Uhuru's Jubilee Revival and the Mt. Kenya Vote: Who Controls the Bloc in 2027?
Mt. Kenya — Kenya's largest voting bloc with 5.2 million registered voters — has no clear political home for the first t...
Taita Taveta Field Note 33: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
30 New Parties, 92 Registered: Kenya's 2027 Party Fragmentation Problem
Kenya now has 92 fully registered political parties, with 30 new ones registered since 2025. Most will never win a seat....
Siaya Field Note 32: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Finance Bill 2026 and the Gen Z Factor: How Youth Anger Could Reshape 2027 Turnout
In June 2024, Gen Z stormed Parliament. In June 2026, Kenya's ruling coalition pushed another Finance Bill through — pro...
Samburu Field Note 31: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
LAMU: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for LAMU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
The 2027 Opposition Arithmetic: Can Gachagua, Kalonzo, and Matiang'i Unite Against Ruto?
Kenya's opposition has a maths problem. Rigathi Gachagua (DCP), Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), and Fred Matiang'i (Jubilee) ha...
Nyeri Field Note 30: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
The Post-Raila Political Vacuum: How ODM's Crisis Reshapes the 2027 Electoral Map
Raila Odinga's death on October 15, 2025 shattered the gravitational centre of Kenyan opposition politics. Nine months l...
Nyandarua Field Note 29: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
Nyamira Field Note 28: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...