Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 58 posts

2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland
2022 County Spotlight: Kericho and Bomet — The Kalenjin Heartland

Kericho (95.32% Ruto) and Bomet (95.27% Ruto) are the two most one-sided Ruto counties in Kenya. Together they delivered...

Feb 22, 2026 4 min 6,281
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 1,827
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,202
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 443
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,854
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 7,961
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 8,189
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign tea...

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 5,359
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TANA RIVER 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TANA RIVER: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 05, 2025 2 min 5,204
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TAITA TAVETA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...

Aug 30, 2025 2 min 1,992
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
SIAYA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for SIAYA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Aug 24, 2025 2 min 10,548
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile
Why Provincial Bloc Voting Made 2007 So Volatile

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Aug 20, 2025 2 min 11,832