Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 97-108 of 174 posts

Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign
Statutory Result Forms in Kenya: What Form 34A to 39A Capture and Why Agents Sign

A detailed guide to statutory result forms 34A through 39A used in Kenyan elections: what each form captures, why agents...

Jan 10, 2025 5 min 3,633
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 3,457
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017
Party Dominance in Parliament: How Jubilee Won 140 of 289 MP Seats in 2017

In 2017, Kenya's National Assembly was elected across 290 constituencies. Twenty-one different political parties won sea...

Jan 07, 2025 4 min 316
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say
The 2017 Supreme Court Annulment: What the Numbers Say

On 1st September 2017, Kenya's Supreme Court annulled the presidential election — the first such ruling in African histo...

Dec 22, 2024 4 min 242
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes
Ballot Classification in Kenya: Valid, Rejected, Disputed, and Objected Votes

The five categories of ballot classification in Kenyan elections: valid, rejected, rejection objected to, disputed, and...

Dec 15, 2024 5 min 6,635
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective
The 2007 Election That Changed Kenya Forever: A Data Retrospective

The 2007 Kenya general election remains the most consequential vote in the nation's history. Mwai Kibaki's PNU claimed 4...

Dec 07, 2024 6 min 9,699
Vote Counting at Kenyan Polling Stations: The Complete Process Explained
Vote Counting at Kenyan Polling Stations: The Complete Process Explained

The complete vote-counting process at Kenyan polling stations: venue layout, sorting order, counting mechanics, recounts...

Dec 01, 2024 5 min 1,368
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%
The Two Battleground Counties: Narok and Kajiado Were Decided by Less Than 3%

In the 2022 presidential election, Narok and Kajiado were the two largest counties decided by less than 4 percentage poi...

Nov 30, 2024 5 min 5,609
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 6,809
Closing the Polls in Kenya: What Happens After 5PM on Election Day
Closing the Polls in Kenya: What Happens After 5PM on Election Day

What happens after the last voter casts their ballot at a Kenyan polling station: sealing ballot boxes, completing the p...

Nov 15, 2024 5 min 4,902
The Fresh Election That Changed Everything: October 2017's 98.26% Result
The Fresh Election That Changed Everything: October 2017's 98.26% Result

After the Supreme Court nullified the August 2017 presidential election, Kenya held a fresh vote on 26th October. Raila...

Nov 14, 2024 4 min 4,931
2017 August Presidential Results: Kenyatta vs Odinga County-by-County
2017 August Presidential Results: Kenyatta vs Odinga County-by-County

Uhuru Kenyatta won the August 2017 presidential election with 8,203,290 votes (54.27%) against Raila Odinga's 6,762,224...

Nov 07, 2024 4 min 7,918