Showing 253-264 of 413 posts
2022 County Spotlight: Siaya — 98.60% for the late Raila, the Ultimate Stronghold
Siaya County gave the late Raila Odinga 371,092 votes out of 376,354 valid votes — a staggering 98.60%. William Ruto rec...
NAKURU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for NAKURU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
The Parliamentary-Presidential Mismatch in 2007
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.
NAIROBI CITY 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign team...
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...
MURANG'A 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for MURANG'A: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...
How 99 ODM Seats Changed Negotiation Power in 2008
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
What Makes a Petition Succeed? Analyzing 2017's 35 Successful Challenges
After the 2017 General Election, 446 election petitions were filed in Kenyan courts. Only 35 succeeded, a 7.8% success r...
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...
MOMBASA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
A practical county forecast for MOMBASA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...
Registration to Representation: The Pipeline Problem for Women
In 2017, Kenya had 9.14 million female registered voters (46.6% of the roll). By 2022, it was 10.87 million (49.1%). Yet...