Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: Election Analysis ×

Showing 145-156 of 174 posts

Voter Registration vs Turnout: The 2022 County Disconnect
Voter Registration vs Turnout: The 2022 County Disconnect

Analysis of the gap between voter registration and actual turnout across all 47 counties in 2022. While the national ave...

Nov 28, 2022 5 min 11,605
IEBC Under Siege: How the 2022 Election Exposed Institutional Weakness
IEBC Under Siege: How the 2022 Election Exposed Institutional Weakness

A commission split 4-3 on results. Commissioners holding rival press conferences. A chairman physically accosted during...

Nov 22, 2022 4 min 6,506
Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote
Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote

Kiambu, the largest county in Mt. Kenya with 1.3 million registered voters, was the site of the most dramatic split betw...

Nov 22, 2022 5 min 9,864
The Media on Election Night: How TV Stations Covered the 2022 Count
The Media on Election Night: How TV Stations Covered the 2022 Count

Kenya's 2022 election night coverage was a marathon of live broadcasting, data dashboards, and pundit analysis. Here's h...

Nov 20, 2022 5 min 3,214
Election Observers in 2022: What International Monitors Actually Found
Election Observers in 2022: What International Monitors Actually Found

The EU, AU, Commonwealth, and domestic observer groups all filed detailed reports on Kenya's 2022 election. What they ac...

Nov 15, 2022 4 min 848
The Cost of Running for Office in 2022: Campaign Finance Data Exposed
The Cost of Running for Office in 2022: Campaign Finance Data Exposed

Kenya's 2022 elections were the most expensive in the country's history, with total campaign spending estimated at KES 1...

Nov 14, 2022 4 min 10,808
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough

Luo Nyanza delivered extraordinary loyalty to Raila Odinga in 2022: 93-97% vote shares across Kisumu, Homa Bay, and Siay...

Nov 14, 2022 5 min 9,200
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power

The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...

Nov 04, 2022 5 min 6,258
The MCA Bloodbath: How 80% of Incumbents Lost Their Ward Seats
The MCA Bloodbath: How 80% of Incumbents Lost Their Ward Seats

Kenya's 2022 election saw a brutal purge of sitting MCAs, with approximately 80% of incumbents losing their seats. This...

Nov 03, 2022 6 min 913
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 5,439
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets

Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...

Oct 30, 2022 3 min 6,395
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM

Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...

Oct 27, 2022 5 min 4,782