Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 97-108 of 150 posts

2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets
2007 by the Numbers: What We Can Prove From Surviving Datasets

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 11, 2025 2 min 8,490
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MARSABIT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MARSABIT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

Jun 07, 2025 2 min 613
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 6)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 05, 2025 2 min 9,889
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MANDERA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MANDERA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jun 01, 2025 2 min 6,143
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 5)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

May 29, 2025 2 min 7,859
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MAKUENI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MAKUENI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

May 26, 2025 2 min 2,899
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 4)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

May 22, 2025 2 min 756
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
MACHAKOS 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for MACHAKOS: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 20, 2025 2 min 3,374
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 3)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

May 15, 2025 2 min 3,924
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can pl...

May 14, 2025 2 min 9,388
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 08, 2025 2 min 4,856
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
LAIKIPIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for LAIKIPIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams ca...

May 08, 2025 2 min 1,119