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Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 85-96 of 98 posts

2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 9,814
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard

Murang’a County gave William Ruto 343,349 votes (81.68%) in 2022, one of the strongest showings in Mt. Kenya. This from...

Apr 23, 2025 5 min 2,507
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory

Kiambu County, home to the Kenyatta dynasty and Kenya’s second-largest electorate at 1.28 million voters, flipped from K...

Mar 22, 2025 5 min 1,325
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 1,475
Cash Transfers and Voting Patterns: Did Hustler Fund Recipients Vote UDA?
Cash Transfers and Voting Patterns: Did Hustler Fund Recipients Vote UDA?

William Ruto's campaign built its identity around the 'Hustler Nation' — Kenya's working poor and informal economy worke...

Jun 28, 2023 5 min 2,051
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 5,959
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power

Kenya's Senate races rarely make headlines, but the 2022 results gave Kenya Kwanza a Senate majority that has shaped eve...

Feb 06, 2023 3 min 10,501
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties

Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...

Dec 14, 2022 5 min 11,641
The Jubilee Party Collapse: From Ruling Party to Footnote in One Election
The Jubilee Party Collapse: From Ruling Party to Footnote in One Election

In 2017, Jubilee Party was an unstoppable machine — winning the presidency, 25 governorships, and dominating both houses...

Nov 22, 2022 6 min 10,683
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 7,559
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 1,039
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement

The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...

Oct 05, 2022 4 min 3,746