Showing 85-96 of 245 posts
2007 Coalition Math: Small Swings, Massive Consequences
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
NAIROBI CITY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for NAIROBI CITY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan age...
Kilifi Coalition Memo 11: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Kilifi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Building a Data-Driven Campaign: What 15 Years of Election Data Teaches
Fifteen years of Kenya election data from 2007 to 2022 reveals clear patterns that determine winners and losers. Registr...
Kiambu Coalition Memo 10: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kericho Coalition Memo 9: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Kakamega Coalition Memo 8: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Kakamega using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Kajiado Coalition Memo 7: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Isiolo Coalition Memo 6: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Nakuru Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
A county ballot-quality brief for Nakuru: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 20...
TAITA TAVETA: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
Data-backed campaign playbook for TAITA TAVETA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan age...
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...