Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 85-96 of 108 posts

BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BUNGOMA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BUNGOMA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 20, 2025 2 min 1,187
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BOMET 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BOMET: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Jan 14, 2025 2 min 2,878
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
BARINGO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for BARINGO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Jan 08, 2025 2 min 3,457
Introducing Votrack's Election Data Blog: Making Kenya's Democracy Visible
Introducing Votrack's Election Data Blog: Making Kenya's Democracy Visible

Four elections. Forty-seven counties. Over 22 million registered voters. Hundreds of thousands of data points. We built...

Oct 07, 2024 5 min 6,231
The Digital Poll: How Online Predictions Compared to Actual 2022 Results
The Digital Poll: How Online Predictions Compared to Actual 2022 Results

In 2022, Kenyans could follow the presidential race through traditional polls (TIFA, Infotrak, Mizani), social media buz...

Jun 22, 2023 5 min 9,247
The Final IEBC Tally: Breaking Down Form 34C Number by Number
The Final IEBC Tally: Breaking Down Form 34C Number by Number

The Form 34C is where Kenya's presidential election officially ends. We break down every line item on the 2022 declarati...

May 08, 2023 3 min 948
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 8,338
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops

Vote buying is illegal in Kenya. It's also ubiquitous. In 2022, cash distribution during campaigns reached industrial sc...

Mar 14, 2023 4 min 5,968
The Women Rep Position: Kenya's Most Unique Electoral Experiment
The Women Rep Position: Kenya's Most Unique Electoral Experiment

The Women Representative seat is uniquely Kenyan — a constitutional compromise born from the two-thirds gender rule that...

Feb 20, 2023 4 min 4,728
The 2022 Election in Africa's Context: How Kenya Compared to Continental Standards
The 2022 Election in Africa's Context: How Kenya Compared to Continental Standards

In 2022, Africa saw coups in Burkina Faso, flawed elections in Angola, and democratic backsliding across the Sahel. Keny...

Feb 08, 2023 4 min 3,484
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power
Senator Races 2022: The Forgotten Contests That Shaped County Power

Kenya's Senate races rarely make headlines, but the 2022 results gave Kenya Kwanza a Senate majority that has shaped eve...

Feb 06, 2023 3 min 7,009
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail

Kenya's 2022 election was the first where social media spending rivaled traditional media budgets. WhatsApp groups becam...

Jan 20, 2023 4 min 11,439