Showing 85-96 of 330 posts
LAMU: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for LAMU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
The 2027 Opposition Arithmetic: Can Gachagua, Kalonzo, and Matiang'i Unite Against Ruto?
Kenya's opposition has a maths problem. Rigathi Gachagua (DCP), Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper), and Fred Matiang'i (Jubilee) ha...
Nyeri Field Note 30: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
The Post-Raila Political Vacuum: How ODM's Crisis Reshapes the 2027 Electoral Map
Raila Odinga's death on October 15, 2025 shattered the gravitational centre of Kenyan opposition politics. Nine months l...
Nyandarua Field Note 29: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
Nyamira Field Note 28: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Women representation pressure: Data Signals Campaign Teams Should Not Ignore Before 2027
A deeper demographic and operations brief on women representation pressure with practical steps for 2027 election teams.
Narok Field Note 27: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Narok using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Nandi Field Note 26: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nandi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
MARSABIT: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for MARSABIT: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...
Nakuru Field Note 25: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nakuru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Nairobi City Field Note 24: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Nairobi City using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...