Showing 85-96 of 383 posts
Meru Referendum Watch 17: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Meru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Marsabit Referendum Watch 16: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Marsabit using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
WAJIR: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for WAJIR: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Mandera Referendum Watch 15: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Mandera using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Makueni Referendum Watch 14: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Makueni using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
BOMET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for BOMET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implications for 2...
Machakos Referendum Watch 13: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Machakos using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Lamu Referendum Watch 12: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Lamu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Laikipia Referendum Watch 11: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
TRANS NZOIA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agen...
Kwale Referendum Watch 10: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kwale using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Kitui Referendum Watch 9: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kitui using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...