Showing 73-84 of 86 posts
Meru 2027 Readiness Brief 26: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Meru using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Marsabit 2027 Readiness Brief 25: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Marsabit using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Laikipia 2027 Readiness Brief 20: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022
Analysis of how coalition branding affected all six elected positions in 2022. Kenya Kwanza and Azimio la Umoja dominate...
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...