Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 37-48 of 56 posts

Laikipia 2027 Readiness Brief 20: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Laikipia 2027 Readiness Brief 20: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Laikipia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Mar 20, 2026 2 min 10,165
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

Mar 15, 2026 2 min 9,655
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 13, 2026 2 min 5,411
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 12, 2026 2 min 3,222
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map

The definitive county-by-county breakdown of Kenya's 2022 presidential election. William Ruto won 7,176,141 votes (50.49...

Jan 07, 2026 5 min 4,583
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations
2022 County Spotlight: Bungoma — Where Ruto Outperformed Expectations

Bungoma County was supposed to be Azimio territory. Western Kenya had traditionally voted with Odinga. But William Ruto...

Oct 15, 2025 5 min 4,642
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%
2022 County Spotlight: Elgeyo/Marakwet — Ruto’s Home Turf at 96.86%

Elgeyo/Marakwet County gave William Ruto 160,033 votes (96.86%) in 2022. The late Raila Odinga managed just 4,893 votes...

Jul 23, 2025 4 min 9,711
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard
2022 County Spotlight: Murang’a — 81.68% for Ruto in Kenyatta’s Backyard

Murang’a County gave William Ruto 343,349 votes (81.68%) in 2022, one of the strongest showings in Mt. Kenya. This from...

Apr 23, 2025 5 min 2,401
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory
2022 County Spotlight: Kiambu — From Kenyatta Country to Ruto Territory

Kiambu County, home to the Kenyatta dynasty and Kenya’s second-largest electorate at 1.28 million voters, flipped from K...

Mar 22, 2025 5 min 1,220
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013
2022: Ruto vs Odinga — The Closest Presidential Race Since 2013

William Ruto won the 2022 presidential election with 7,176,141 votes (50.49%) against Raila Odinga’s 6,942,930 votes (48...

Nov 22, 2024 5 min 1,356
Cash Transfers and Voting Patterns: Did Hustler Fund Recipients Vote UDA?
Cash Transfers and Voting Patterns: Did Hustler Fund Recipients Vote UDA?

William Ruto's campaign built its identity around the 'Hustler Nation' — Kenya's working poor and informal economy worke...

Jun 28, 2023 5 min 1,945
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty
Elgeyo Marakwet 2022: A County Study in Political Loyalty

With 93.7% for Ruto in the presidential race and UDA sweeping every seat, Elgeyo Marakwet is a case study in total polit...

Apr 03, 2023 3 min 5,858