Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 37-47 of 47 posts

Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kirinyaga 2027 Readiness Brief 15: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kirinyaga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...

Mar 15, 2026 2 min 9,655
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kiambu 2027 Readiness Brief 13: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Mar 13, 2026 2 min 5,411
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Kericho 2027 Readiness Brief 12: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Mar 12, 2026 2 min 3,222
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022
How Coalitions Affected Downballot Races in 2022

Analysis of how coalition branding affected all six elected positions in 2022. Kenya Kwanza and Azimio la Umoja dominate...

Apr 12, 2023 5 min 8,913
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power

The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...

Nov 04, 2022 5 min 7,624
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 7,424
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 592
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza
Nakuru 2022: The Swing County That Swung Hard for Kenya Kwanza

Nakuru County, Kenya's third-largest electorate with over 1.1 million registered voters, was considered the ultimate swi...

Oct 18, 2022 5 min 11,162
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement

The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...

Oct 05, 2022 4 min 3,618
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis
How UDA Swept the Rift Valley: A Ward-Level Analysis

William Ruto's UDA party won every single gubernatorial race in the Rift Valley, swept parliamentary seats, and delivere...

Sep 28, 2022 4 min 9,827
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic
How Kenya Kwanza Built a Winning Coalition: Lessons in Alliance Arithmetic

Kenya Kwanza brought together UDA, ANC, Ford-Kenya, and smaller parties into a coalition that covered every region and c...

Sep 18, 2022 4 min 7,944