Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 13-24 of 150 posts

TURKANA: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Lowest Turnout Counties)
TURKANA: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for TURKANA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Apr 15, 2026 2 min 4,726
Vihiga 2027 Readiness Brief 45: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Vihiga 2027 Readiness Brief 45: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

Apr 14, 2026 2 min 583
Uasin Gishu 2027 Readiness Brief 44: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Uasin Gishu 2027 Readiness Brief 44: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Uasin Gishu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Apr 13, 2026 2 min 11,232
Nairobi City Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
Nairobi City Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027

A county ballot-quality brief for Nairobi City: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead...

Apr 13, 2026 2 min 2,349
Turkana 2027 Readiness Brief 43: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Turkana 2027 Readiness Brief 43: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Turkana using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 12, 2026 2 min 4,402
Trans Nzoia 2027 Readiness Brief 42: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Trans Nzoia 2027 Readiness Brief 42: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Apr 11, 2026 2 min 1,383
Tharaka-Nithi 2027 Readiness Brief 41: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Tharaka-Nithi 2027 Readiness Brief 41: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...

Apr 10, 2026 2 min 7,972
KAKAMEGA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)
KAKAMEGA: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KAKAMEGA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Apr 10, 2026 2 min 6,380
Tana River 2027 Readiness Brief 40: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Tana River 2027 Readiness Brief 40: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

Apr 09, 2026 2 min 6,860
Taita Taveta 2027 Readiness Brief 39: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Taita Taveta 2027 Readiness Brief 39: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

Apr 08, 2026 2 min 2,550
Siaya 2027 Readiness Brief 38: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Siaya 2027 Readiness Brief 38: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 07, 2026 2 min 3,414
Samburu 2027 Readiness Brief 37: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters
Samburu 2027 Readiness Brief 37: The 2022 Baseline That Still Matters

A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 06, 2026 2 min 652