Showing 145-156 of 330 posts
Tharaka-Nithi Coalition Memo 38: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Tharaka-Nithi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure...
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...
Mombasa Rejected Ballot Watch: Where Ballot Quality Could Decide 2027
A county ballot-quality brief for Mombasa: rejection rate, turnout context, and practical fixes for campaigns ahead of 2...
KILIFI: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for KILIFI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...
What 2007 Teaches 2027 Campaign Teams About Evidence
A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Predicting 2027 Turnout: What Historical Data Tells Us
Kenya's turnout has fallen from 86% to 65% across three elections. With registration projected to reach 24-26 million by...
Nyeri Coalition Memo 33: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyeri using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Nyandarua Coalition Memo 32: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyandarua using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, re...
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...