Showing 1-12 of 496 posts
Kajiado Referendum Watch 1: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
NAROK: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Isiolo Field Note 50: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Homa Bay Field Note 49: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Garissa Field Note 48: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
2022's Darkest Moment: Two Election Officials Died
The 2022 election achieved a historic first: zero police-attributed election deaths. But two IEBC officials, Daniel Musy...
Embu Field Note 47: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Elgeyo/Marakwet Field Note 46: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...
KAJIADO: Where campaigns should invest in voter contact (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for KAJIADO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
Evidence-driven GOTV: Data Signals Campaign Teams Should Not Ignore Before 2027
A deeper demographic and operations brief on evidence-driven gotv with practical steps for 2027 election teams.
Busia Field Note 45: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Bungoma Field Note 44: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...