Showing 1-12 of 67 posts
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
Why Election Petitions Keep Failing: The 7.8% Success Rate Explained
In 2007, 36 election petitions were filed and 17 succeeded, a 47% success rate. By 2013, 188 were filed but only 24 succ...
ISIOLO: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for ISIOLO: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...
SIAYA: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for SIAYA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Embu Coalition Memo 50: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 49: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...
Busia Coalition Memo 48: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
Bungoma Coalition Memo 47: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Bungoma using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Bomet Coalition Memo 46: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Bomet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...
BUNGOMA: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Fastest Registration Growth)
Data-backed campaign playbook for BUNGOMA: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...
Baringo Coalition Memo 45: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for Baringo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
West Pokot Coalition Memo 44: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
A county-grounded brief for West Pokot using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...