Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 1-12 of 14 posts

Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Homa Bay Coalition Memo 5: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...

Apr 24, 2026 2 min 4,019
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Garissa Coalition Memo 4: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Apr 23, 2026 2 min 3,605
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Embu Coalition Memo 3: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...

Apr 22, 2026 2 min 8,497
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 331
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 827
MACHAKOS: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
MACHAKOS: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MACHAKOS: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Apr 05, 2026 2 min 9,355
KWALE: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)
KWALE: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Lowest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for KWALE: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Mar 16, 2026 2 min 8,625
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Dec 28, 2025 2 min 2,616
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MIGORI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 04, 2025 2 min 11,540
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to pla...

Nov 10, 2025 2 min 6,893
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament

Kenya's 2017 election produced a parliament fragmented across 41 political parties. Jubilee and ODM dominated, but dozen...

Oct 07, 2025 5 min 7,369
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops

Vote buying is illegal in Kenya. It's also ubiquitous. In 2022, cash distribution during campaigns reached industrial sc...

Mar 14, 2023 4 min 10,955