Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
SAMBURU: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for SAMBURU: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents a...

Dec 28, 2025 2 min 5,742
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
MIGORI: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for MIGORI: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents an...

Dec 04, 2025 2 min 6,966
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)
ELGEYO / MARAKWET: Predicting 2027 pressure points from 2022 numbers (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for ELGEYO / MARAKWET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to pla...

Nov 10, 2025 2 min 11,188
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament
How Many Parties Does Kenya Really Need? The 41-Party Parliament

Kenya's 2017 election produced a parliament fragmented across 41 political parties. Jubilee and ODM dominated, but dozen...

Oct 07, 2025 5 min 4,808
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops
Vote Buying in 2022: The Open Secret Everyone Knows But Nobody Stops

Vote buying is illegal in Kenya. It's also ubiquitous. In 2022, cash distribution during campaigns reached industrial sc...

Mar 14, 2023 4 min 5,968
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail
The Role of Social Media in 2022: WhatsApp, TikTok, and the New Campaign Trail

Kenya's 2022 election was the first where social media spending rivaled traditional media budgets. WhatsApp groups becam...

Jan 20, 2023 4 min 11,439
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement
William Ruto's Hustler Narrative: How a Campaign Slogan Became a Movement

The 'hustler vs dynasty' framing was dismissed by pundits as populist nonsense. But Ruto's bottom-up economic model reso...

Oct 05, 2022 4 min 10,602