Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 49-60 of 88 posts

Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Elgeyo/Marakwet Coalition Memo 2: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...

Apr 21, 2026 2 min 398
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 1: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Apr 20, 2026 2 min 900
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved
The Cost of Petitions: 446 Court Cases and What They Achieved

Kenya's election petition numbers tell a paradoxical story. Petitions filed grew from 36 (2007) to 188 (2013) to 446 (20...

Mar 31, 2026 4 min 1,237
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007
From ECK to IEBC: Institutional Lessons from 2007

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 31, 2025 2 min 11,539
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline
36 Petitions in 2007: The Forgotten Baseline

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jul 21, 2025 2 min 1,684
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 12)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 17, 2025 2 min 1,222
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 11)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jul 10, 2025 2 min 2,983
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)
Member of the County Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 10)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the County Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention...

Jul 03, 2025 2 min 6,400
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)
Member of the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 9)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Member of the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and preventio...

Jun 26, 2025 2 min 5,920
Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?
Could a 50%+1 Rule Have Prevented the 2007 Crisis?

A deeper 2007 brief built from validated project data points: presidential totals, parliamentary seat split, petition ba...

Jun 21, 2025 2 min 9,444
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)
County Women Member to the National Assembly Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 8)

A data-backed legal risk brief for County Women Member to the National Assembly campaigns: filings trend, success rate,...

Jun 19, 2025 2 min 11,946
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 7)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

Jun 12, 2025 2 min 8,943