Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 13-24 of 174 posts

2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map
2022 Election: The Complete County-by-County Results Map

The definitive county-by-county breakdown of Kenya's 2022 presidential election. William Ruto won 7,176,141 votes (50.49...

Jan 07, 2026 5 min 11,849
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
HOMA BAY: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for HOMA BAY: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents...

Dec 10, 2025 2 min 9,052
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
NAROK: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Nov 16, 2025 2 min 8,557
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)
BOMET: How turnout discipline can flip swing zones (Highest Turnout Counties)

Data-backed campaign playbook for BOMET: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...

Oct 23, 2025 2 min 2,552
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj
The Closest MP Race in 2013: Won by Just 24 Votes in Tarbaj

The 2013 general election produced some of Kenya's tightest parliamentary races in history. In Tarbaj constituency (Waji...

Oct 23, 2025 4 min 637
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WEST POKOT 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WEST POKOT: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Oct 17, 2025 2 min 1,827
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
WAJIR 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for WAJIR: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Oct 11, 2025 2 min 6,202
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
VIHIGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for VIHIGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Oct 05, 2025 2 min 443
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
UASIN GISHU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for UASIN GISHU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 29, 2025 2 min 10,854
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TURKANA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TURKANA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Sep 23, 2025 2 min 7,961
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
TRANS NZOIA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for TRANS NZOIA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams...

Sep 17, 2025 2 min 8,189
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
THARAKA-NITHI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for THARAKA-NITHI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign tea...

Sep 11, 2025 2 min 5,359