Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 193-204 of 220 posts

IEBC Under Siege: How the 2022 Election Exposed Institutional Weakness
IEBC Under Siege: How the 2022 Election Exposed Institutional Weakness

A commission split 4-3 on results. Commissioners holding rival press conferences. A chairman physically accosted during...

Nov 22, 2022 4 min 4,111
The Media on Election Night: How TV Stations Covered the 2022 Count
The Media on Election Night: How TV Stations Covered the 2022 Count

Kenya's 2022 election night coverage was a marathon of live broadcasting, data dashboards, and pundit analysis. Here's h...

Nov 20, 2022 5 min 8,809
Election Observers in 2022: What International Monitors Actually Found
Election Observers in 2022: What International Monitors Actually Found

The EU, AU, Commonwealth, and domestic observer groups all filed detailed reports on Kenya's 2022 election. What they ac...

Nov 15, 2022 4 min 7,444
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough
The Luo Nyanza Turnout Machine: 93% for Raila and Still Not Enough

Luo Nyanza delivered extraordinary loyalty to Raila Odinga in 2022: 93-97% vote shares across Kisumu, Homa Bay, and Siay...

Nov 14, 2022 5 min 811
The Cost of Running for Office in 2022: Campaign Finance Data Exposed
The Cost of Running for Office in 2022: Campaign Finance Data Exposed

Kenya's 2022 elections were the most expensive in the country's history, with total campaign spending estimated at KES 1...

Nov 14, 2022 4 min 9,381
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power
Senate 2022: How the County Delegations Shifted Power

The 2022 Senate elections gave Kenya Kwanza a narrow majority with 24 elected senators vs Azimio's 23. But the Senate's...

Nov 04, 2022 5 min 7,624
The MCA Bloodbath: How 80% of Incumbents Lost Their Ward Seats
The MCA Bloodbath: How 80% of Incumbents Lost Their Ward Seats

Kenya's 2022 election saw a brutal purge of sitting MCAs, with approximately 80% of incumbents losing their seats. This...

Nov 03, 2022 6 min 10,800
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen
Deputy President Race 2022: How Rigathi Gachagua Was Chosen

Before Gachagua, there was Mathira MP speculation, Kiharu's Ndindi Nyoro, and a dozen other Mt. Kenya names. How did a r...

Nov 03, 2022 4 min 7,424
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets
Nairobi 2022: How the Capital's 2.2 Million Voters Split Their Tickets

Kenya's capital is the only county where voters routinely split their tickets across parties. In 2022, Nairobi's 2.2 mil...

Oct 30, 2022 3 min 5,730
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM
Bungoma and Kakamega: The Western Kenya Tug-of-War Between ANC and ODM

Bungoma and Kakamega — Western Kenya's two largest counties — split dramatically in 2022. Kakamega went 58% for Odinga w...

Oct 27, 2022 5 min 850
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election
Azimio's Stronghold Paradox: Winning Counties but Losing the Election

Raila Odinga's Azimio coalition won 22 of 47 counties in the presidential race. Kenya Kwanza won 25. But the real story...

Oct 25, 2022 3 min 4,525
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties
The Rift Valley Machine: How UDA Won 90%+ in 14 Counties

UDA swept the Rift Valley with staggering margins in 2022 — 14 counties above 90%, five above 95%. The Kalenjin heartlan...

Oct 25, 2022 4 min 592