Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 181-192 of 220 posts

The Presidential Debate Effect: Did the 2022 Debates Change Any Votes?
The Presidential Debate Effect: Did the 2022 Debates Change Any Votes?

Kenya's 2022 presidential debates attracted millions of viewers and dominated social media for days. But polling data be...

Jan 12, 2023 5 min 10,454
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It
How the 2022 Election Was Different From Every One Before It

From the first deputy president to run as the opposition, to the first sitting president to campaign against his own dep...

Jan 10, 2023 4 min 1,999
The National Assembly Class of 2022: A Demographic Profile of 290 MPs
The National Assembly Class of 2022: A Demographic Profile of 290 MPs

A comprehensive demographic analysis of the 290 MPs elected to Kenya's National Assembly in 2022. The class is 90% male,...

Dec 15, 2022 5 min 4,764
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won
The Independent Candidates of 2022: 5,000 Tried, 14 Won

Running without a party in Kenya is political suicide — unless you're Kawira Mwangaza. Of the 5,000+ independent candida...

Dec 15, 2022 4 min 3,154
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties
Nandi and Uasin Gishu: Inside UDA's Two Fortress Counties

Nandi and Uasin Gishu are the twin engines of UDA's electoral machine. In 2022, they delivered a combined net margin of...

Dec 14, 2022 5 min 11,481
Counting Irregularities: 15 Constituencies Where Results Were Contested
Counting Irregularities: 15 Constituencies Where Results Were Contested

The 2022 election generated over 200 election petitions, but some constituencies stood out for the severity of their cou...

Dec 12, 2022 4 min 5,810
The Gender Gap in 2022: Only 29 Women Won Parliamentary Seats
The Gender Gap in 2022: Only 29 Women Won Parliamentary Seats

Kenya's Constitution requires that no more than two-thirds of any elective body be of one gender. Twelve years after thi...

Dec 08, 2022 3 min 4,197
Governor Races 2022: 15 Counties Where the Winner Got Less Than 55%
Governor Races 2022: 15 Counties Where the Winner Got Less Than 55%

In 2022, fifteen governor races were won with less than 55% of the vote — margins so thin that voter mobilization or tur...

Dec 05, 2022 5 min 2,028
The Youth Candidate Wave: Under-35s Who Ran for MCA in 2022
The Youth Candidate Wave: Under-35s Who Ran for MCA in 2022

Kenya's MCA race is where political careers begin, and in 2022, thousands of young candidates threw their hats in. The d...

Dec 01, 2022 4 min 10,695
First-Time Candidates Who Won in 2022: The Outsiders Who Beat the Odds
First-Time Candidates Who Won in 2022: The Outsiders Who Beat the Odds

In a political system dominated by money, incumbency, and ethnic arithmetic, 2022 saw a remarkable wave of first-time ca...

Nov 30, 2022 3 min 8,400
Voter Registration vs Turnout: The 2022 County Disconnect
Voter Registration vs Turnout: The 2022 County Disconnect

Analysis of the gap between voter registration and actual turnout across all 47 counties in 2022. While the national ave...

Nov 28, 2022 5 min 11,430
Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote
Kiambu's Quiet Rebellion: How Mt. Kenya's Biggest County Split Its Vote

Kiambu, the largest county in Mt. Kenya with 1.3 million registered voters, was the site of the most dramatic split betw...

Nov 22, 2022 5 min 1,388