Showing 109-120 of 469 posts
Kilifi Referendum Watch 5: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kilifi using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kiambu Referendum Watch 4: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kiambu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Kericho Referendum Watch 3: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kericho using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Kakamega Referendum Watch 2: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kakamega using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
ELGEYO/MARAKWET Stronghold Outlook: Turnout Pressure and Coalition Math for 2027
Stronghold forecast for ELGEYO/MARAKWET: three-election turnout trend, 2022 vote split, and practical coalition implicat...
Kajiado Referendum Watch 1: Constitutional Reform, Risk, and 2027 Electoral Stability
A county-grounded brief for Kajiado using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
NAROK: Stronghold protection vs expansion strategy (Closest Presidential Margins in 2022)
Data-backed campaign playbook for NAROK: turnout trajectory, registration depth, margin risk, and how to plan agents and...
Isiolo Field Note 50: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Isiolo using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...
Homa Bay Field Note 49: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Homa Bay using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, reg...
Garissa Field Note 48: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...
Embu Field Note 47: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Embu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, registr...
Elgeyo/Marakwet Field Note 46: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
A county-grounded brief for Elgeyo/Marakwet using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressu...