Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

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Showing 109-120 of 220 posts

Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)
Senator Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 2)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Senator campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 08, 2025 2 min 4,925
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KWALE 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KWALE: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

May 02, 2025 2 min 6,787
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)
Governor Petitions: What the Numbers Teach Campaigns Before 2027 (Part 1)

A data-backed legal risk brief for Governor campaigns: filings trend, success rate, and prevention strategy for 2027.

May 01, 2025 2 min 390
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions
The Senate Race: 47 Seats, 9 Parties, and Zero Successful Petitions

In 2017, nine political parties shared 47 senate seats. Jubilee took 24, ODM won 13, and the rest were split among seven...

Apr 30, 2025 4 min 1,319
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KITUI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KITUI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Apr 26, 2025 2 min 11,752
KISUMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KISUMU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KISUMU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Apr 20, 2025 2 min 5,791
KISII 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KISII 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KISII: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can p...

Apr 14, 2025 2 min 8,966
KIRINYAGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KIRINYAGA 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KIRINYAGA: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams c...

Apr 08, 2025 2 min 6,496
KILIFI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KILIFI 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KILIFI: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Apr 02, 2025 2 min 3,890
KIAMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KIAMBU 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KIAMBU: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Mar 27, 2025 2 min 7,841
The Agent Communication Hierarchy: How Election Results Flow from Station to Headquarters
The Agent Communication Hierarchy: How Election Results Flow from Station to Headquarters

Kenya's election agent communication hierarchy has four tiers: Polling Station Agent, Constituency Chief Agent, County C...

Mar 22, 2025 6 min 3,721
KERICHO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter
KERICHO 2027 Forecast: Turnout, Stronghold Pressure, and the Votes That Will Matter

A practical county forecast for KERICHO: turnout trend from 2013-2022, the 2022 winning bloc, and how campaign teams can...

Mar 21, 2025 2 min 365