Kenya Election Insights

Data-driven analysis of Kenya's elections from 2007 to 2022

Filtering by: odm ×

Showing 1-12 of 59 posts

Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game
Garissa Field Note 1: Mt. Kenya Shockwaves, By-Election Lessons, and the 2027 Ground Game

A county-grounded brief for Garissa using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

Jun 09, 2026 2 min 3,348
Busia Coalition Memo 48: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Busia Coalition Memo 48: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Busia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Jun 06, 2026 2 min 1,665
Wajir Coalition Memo 43: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Wajir Coalition Memo 43: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Wajir using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

Jun 01, 2026 2 min 2,647
Vihiga Coalition Memo 42: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Vihiga Coalition Memo 42: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Vihiga using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regis...

May 31, 2026 2 min 10,509
Turkana Coalition Memo 40: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Turkana Coalition Memo 40: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Turkana using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 29, 2026 2 min 11,758
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Trans Nzoia Coalition Memo 39: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Trans Nzoia using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 28, 2026 2 min 2,214
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Tana River Coalition Memo 37: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Tana River using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, r...

May 26, 2026 2 min 2,138
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Taita Taveta Coalition Memo 36: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Taita Taveta using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure,...

May 25, 2026 2 min 890
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Siaya Coalition Memo 35: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Siaya using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 24, 2026 2 min 7,889
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Samburu Coalition Memo 34: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Samburu using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 23, 2026 2 min 3,479
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Nyamira Coalition Memo 31: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Nyamira using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regi...

May 20, 2026 2 min 1,308
Narok Coalition Memo 30: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit
Narok Coalition Memo 30: Broad-Based Politics After ODM's February 11, 2026 Exit

A county-grounded brief for Narok using 2013, 2017, and 2022 data to map 2027 risks: turnout, coalition pressure, regist...

May 19, 2026 2 min 9,925